22 May 2025, Thu

Real estate development projects in Greece (e.g., Ellinikon)

Ellinikon Development Project

Unlocking Greece’s Real Estate Potential: From Coastal Gems to Urban Revivals

Reading time: 12 minutes

Table of Contents

Introduction: Greece’s Evolving Property Landscape

Remember when Greece was synonymous with economic uncertainty? Those days are rapidly fading into history. The Hellenic real estate market has undergone a remarkable transformation in recent years, emerging from a decade-long slump to become one of Europe’s most promising investment destinations.

The numbers tell a compelling story: property prices in prime Greek locations have increased by an average of 7.3% annually since 2017, outpacing many other Mediterranean markets. Yet, compared to similar coastal destinations in Spain or Italy, Greek properties still offer significantly more value per square meter.

What’s driving this renaissance? A combination of economic stabilization, strategic development initiatives, and lifestyle appeal that continues to attract both lifestyle buyers and serious investors. As Maria Kostopoulou, a prominent Athens-based real estate analyst puts it: “We’re witnessing a fundamental shift in how the international market perceives Greek property—from distressed opportunity to sustainable investment with genuine growth potential.”

In this comprehensive guide, we’ll navigate the current landscape of Greek real estate development, with special attention to transformative projects like Ellinikon that are reshaping entire districts. Whether you’re considering a holiday home, investment property, or exploring flats for sale in greece as a primary residence, understanding these market dynamics is essential to making informed decisions.

Market Overview: Recovery, Growth & Opportunities

The Greek property market’s trajectory since the 2008 financial crisis resembles a classic recovery curve—steep decline, extended bottom, and now, a sustained upward climb. Between 2008 and 2017, residential property values fell by approximately 42% nationwide. Since then, we’ve seen consistent year-on-year growth, with 2022 recording an impressive 9.1% increase in average prices across the country.

Market Segmentation: Urban Centers vs. Coastal Properties

The recovery hasn’t been uniform across all segments. Urban centers, particularly Athens and Thessaloniki, led the initial rebound with sharp price increases driven by short-term rental demand and urban renewal projects. Meanwhile, island and coastal properties have seen more measured but potentially sustainable growth patterns.

Let’s examine a specific case study: Dimitri Leventis, a tech entrepreneur from Germany, purchased a two-bedroom apartment in central Athens for €120,000 in 2018. “Everyone thought I was taking an unnecessary risk,” he recalls. “Four years later, similar units in my building are selling for €190,000, and I’ve maintained 85% occupancy on my short-term rental listing.”

This urban renaissance is complemented by strategic development in tourist areas. The Islands—particularly Mykonos, Santorini, and Paros—continue to command premium prices, while emerging destinations like Kalamata and the western Peloponnese offer compelling value with significant growth potential.

Foreign Investment Trends

Foreign buyers remain a crucial driver in the market’s recovery. According to Bank of Greece data, foreign direct investment in Greek real estate reached €1.45 billion in 2022, representing a 61% increase from 2019 levels. The investor profile has diversified significantly:

  • European buyers (primarily German, French, and UK): 42% of foreign transactions
  • North American investors: 18% of foreign transactions
  • Middle Eastern and Chinese buyers: 25% of foreign transactions
  • Other international investors: 15% of foreign transactions

What’s particularly interesting is how different buyer segments target specific markets. North Americans typically focus on high-end island properties and luxury developments, while European buyers show more interest in urban apartments and mainland coastal homes.

Key Investment Regions in Greece

Greece offers remarkable regional diversity, each with distinct investment characteristics. Understanding these regional dynamics is crucial for aligning your investment goals with the right location.

Region Average Price (€/m²) 5-Year Growth Rental Yield Investment Profile
Athens (Center) 1,700-3,200 37% 4.5-6.5% Urban rental & development
Athens (Southern Suburbs) 2,500-5,000 42% 3.5-5.5% Luxury residential & coastal lifestyle
Thessaloniki 1,300-2,200 22% 4.0-5.5% Urban rental & student housing
Cyclades Islands 3,000-12,000 51% 3.0-7.0% Luxury vacation & premium rentals
Peloponnese 1,200-3,500 19% 3.0-5.0% Second homes & retirement properties

Athens: A City in Transformation

Athens presents perhaps the most compelling investment narrative in Greece today. The capital is undergoing a multi-faceted revival, balancing historical preservation with ambitious modern development. Neighborhoods like Koukaki, Metaxourgeio, and Kypseli have experienced gentrification waves similar to those seen in Berlin or Lisbon, but at earlier stages with continued growth potential.

The city’s transformation extends beyond downtown. The Athens Riviera—the coastal strip from Faliro to Cape Sounio—is undergoing a remarkable evolution, anchored by flagship projects like the Ellinikon development (which we’ll explore in depth shortly) and the redevelopment of the Astir Palace peninsula.

Consider the experience of Sara and John Armstrong, a Canadian couple who purchased a neglected neoclassical building in Mets (near the Acropolis) in 2019 for €380,000. After a €220,000 renovation, the property now houses their residence on the top floor and two rental apartments generating approximately €2,800 monthly. “The renovation was challenging,” admits Sara, “but we’ve created not just a home but a sustainable investment with tremendous character that would have cost millions in Paris or Rome.”

Island Opportunities: Beyond the Famous Names

While Mykonos and Santorini grab headlines with their premium prices and exclusive developments, savvy investors are increasingly looking to second-tier islands that offer better value with robust growth potential.

Islands like Paros, Naxos, and Syros in the Cyclades, or Lefkada and Kefalonia in the Ionian Sea, offer the authentic Greek island experience with prices 30-50% lower than their more famous counterparts. For instance, while a villa with sea views in Mykonos might command €1.5 million, a comparable property on Paros might be available for €750,000-900,000.

The Ellinikon Project: Transforming Athens’ Coastline

Few development projects globally match the ambition and scale of the Ellinikon. Built on the 620-hectare site of Athens’ former international airport, this €8 billion mega-project represents the largest urban regeneration initiative in Europe and will fundamentally reshape Athens’ relationship with its coastline.

Residential Space
10,000 units

Commercial Space
760,000 m²

Green Space
2 million m²

Tourism Facilities
3 hotels, marina

Investment Implications & Opportunities

The Ellinikon development presents multiple investment entry points across different asset classes:

  • Direct residential investment: The project will include approximately 10,000 residential units ranging from affordable apartments to ultra-luxury villas and branded residences. Early buyers have already seen paper gains of 15-20% since pre-sales began.
  • Commercial real estate: With 760,000 square meters of commercial space planned, including a business district, shopping centers, and entertainment facilities, there will be significant opportunities for commercial investors.
  • Proximity play: Perhaps the most accessible strategy for individual investors is the “proximity play”—purchasing properties in neighboring areas that will benefit from the Ellinikon’s halo effect. Areas like Glyfada, Voula, and Argyroupoli have already seen price appreciation in anticipation of the development.

As Georgios Papastamos, a leading Greek property developer explains: “Ellinikon isn’t just transforming a disused airport; it’s repositioning the entire southern coastline of Athens as a destination for premium living, working, and leisure. We’re already seeing its impact radiate outward to neighboring municipalities.”

Timeline and Phases

Understanding the Ellinikon’s phased development approach is crucial for timing investment decisions:

  1. Phase 1 (2022-2025): Infrastructure development, coastal front, commercial hub, and initial residential offerings
  2. Phase 2 (2025-2028): Main residential developments, hotel openings, and metropolitan park
  3. Phase 3 (2028-2032): Completion of remaining components and integration

The project’s long timeline creates opportunities for both early adopters seeking maximum appreciation and later entrants who prefer the security of established developments.

Navigating the Greek Property Buying Process

The property acquisition process in Greece has been significantly streamlined in recent years, but still requires careful navigation, especially for foreign buyers. Here’s a roadmap to the essential steps:

Legal Requirements & Documentation

Before initiating any purchase, foreign buyers must obtain a Greek tax registration number (AFM) and open a Greek bank account. For non-EU citizens, additional documentation may be required, including:

  • Proof of income source(s)
  • Clean criminal record certificate
  • Health insurance covering Greece
  • Passport and residence permit (if applicable)

For properties in border areas or on certain islands, non-EU buyers may need special permissions from regional authorities—a process that typically adds 1-3 months to the timeline.

“The bureaucracy can be challenging,” notes Andreas Markides, who purchased a vacation home on Crete in 2021. “My advice: secure an experienced, English-speaking lawyer before making any commitments. The €2,000 I spent on legal fees saved me countless headaches and potentially serious mistakes.”

Transaction Costs & Taxation

Prospective buyers should budget for the following acquisition costs beyond the property price:

  • Property transfer tax: 3.09% for properties without VAT; new builds may include 24% VAT instead
  • Notary fees: Approximately 0.8-1% of property value
  • Legal fees: 0.5-1% of property value
  • Real estate agent commission: 2-3% (typically paid by the seller but sometimes shared)
  • Property registration: 0.3-0.5% of property value

Ongoing ownership costs include annual property tax (ENFIA), which has been reduced in recent years but still represents a significant consideration. ENFIA calculations are complex, based on property size, location, age, and other factors, but typically range from €2-€15 per square meter annually.

Cost-Benefit Analysis: Greek Real Estate Investment

With any property investment, conducting a thorough cost-benefit analysis is essential. For Greek real estate, several factors merit particular attention:

Rental Income Potential

Greece offers two distinct rental markets with different risk-return profiles:

Long-term rentals: Traditionally the safer option, long-term rentals in Athens typically yield 4-6% gross returns. The market is supported by locals and the growing expatriate community, providing stable income with lower management requirements.

Short-term/vacation rentals: Higher potential returns (8-12% gross in prime locations) but with greater seasonality, higher management costs, and regulatory considerations. The Greek government has introduced stricter regulations on short-term rentals, including registration requirements and tax implications.

Elena Kontopoulou, who manages a portfolio of 12 rental properties across Athens, offers this perspective: “The short-term market has become more challenging but remains lucrative if you’re selective about location and have efficient management systems. For hands-off investors, I now recommend focusing on quality long-term rentals in up-and-coming neighborhoods with good transportation links.”

Capital Appreciation Factors

When evaluating growth potential, consider these market-specific drivers:

  • Infrastructure development: Major projects like Ellinikon, transportation improvements, and commercial hubs significantly impact surrounding property values
  • Neighborhood transformation: Areas undergoing gentrification often offer the highest appreciation potential; look for signs like new cafés, art galleries, and renovation activity
  • Tourism trends: For island and coastal properties, monitoring changing tourism patterns is essential; areas becoming accessible to new markets often see substantial value increases
  • Supply constraints: Many desirable Greek locations have limited development potential due to topography, historical preservation, or zoning restrictions, creating natural appreciation pressure

The Golden Visa Program: Pathway to EU Residency

Greece’s Golden Visa program remains one of Europe’s most accessible residency-by-investment schemes, though recent changes have altered its landscape.

Originally launched in 2013, the program grants five-year renewable residency permits to non-EU nationals making qualifying investments, including real estate purchases of €250,000 or more. However, as of September 2023, the minimum investment threshold has increased to €500,000 in certain high-demand areas (including Athens, Thessaloniki, Mykonos, and Santorini), while remaining at €250,000 in less developed regions.

Golden Visa Benefits & Considerations

The program offers several compelling advantages:

  • Five-year renewable residency permit for investor and family members
  • No minimum stay requirements to maintain permit status
  • Visa-free travel within the Schengen Zone
  • Path to permanent residency (after five years) and potential citizenship (after seven years of residency)
  • Access to Greek public education and healthcare systems

However, potential applicants should also consider:

  • The program does not automatically grant work rights in Greece
  • Income generated outside Greece remains taxable according to original residence rules
  • Processing times have increased due to application volume (currently 6-12 months)

“The program’s value proposition has shifted,” explains Dimitrios Anastasiadis, an Athens-based immigration attorney. “Previously, it was often used as a pure investment strategy. Now, with higher thresholds in prime areas, successful applicants tend to have genuine lifestyle motivations alongside their investment goals.”

Future-Proofing Your Greek Property Investment

As we look toward the future of Greek real estate, several factors will shape the market’s trajectory and determine which investments deliver superior returns.

Climate Resilience & Sustainability

Climate change presents both challenges and opportunities for Greek property investors. Rising temperatures and increased fire risks affect certain regions, while creating premium value for properties with sustainable features:

  • Energy efficiency: Properties with high energy performance certificates increasingly command premium prices and attract quality tenants
  • Water conservation: Systems for rainwater collection and greywater recycling add significant value, especially in island settings
  • Alternative energy: Solar installation potential should be evaluated for any property purchase, as Greece’s abundant sunshine makes solar investment highly viable

Elena Karapataki, a sustainable architecture specialist in Athens, notes: “We’re seeing a clear price differential emerging between conventional properties and those built or renovated with climate resilience in mind. This gap will only widen as energy costs and environmental awareness increase.”

Digital Nomad Phenomenon

Greece has positioned itself as an emerging digital nomad destination, introducing a specific digital nomad visa and investing in digital infrastructure improvements. This creates opportunities for property investors willing to cater to this growing market segment.

Properties that combine traditional Greek charm with high-speed internet, comfortable workspaces, and proximity to amenities are particularly well-positioned. Cities like Athens and Thessaloniki, along with islands including Crete, Syros, and Rhodes, have established growing digital nomad communities.

Strategic Investment Roadmap

  1. Assess your investment horizon: Short-term flips are viable in rapidly developing areas, but most Greek property investments perform best with a 5+ year horizon
  2. Diversify within the market: Consider balancing urban, coastal, and island properties to mitigate seasonal and economic cycle risks
  3. Think micro-location: Property values can vary dramatically within small geographic areas; prioritize accessibility, views, and proximity to amenities
  4. Build local connections: Developing relationships with property managers, maintenance providers, and municipal contacts is invaluable for long-term success
  5. Monitor regulatory changes: Stay informed about zoning, short-term rental regulations, and tax laws that could impact your investment

The Greek property market offers remarkable diversity and opportunity, but rewards those who approach it with both diligence and flexibility. As you consider your own Greek property journey—whether for personal enjoyment, investment returns, or residency benefits—remember that the most successful investments typically align authentic appreciation for Greece’s unique qualities with strategic market positioning.

How will you balance immediate opportunity with long-term vision in your Greek property strategy? The answer may well determine not just your investment returns, but the quality of your connection to this extraordinary Mediterranean nation.

Frequently Asked Questions

How has the Ellinikon development affected surrounding property values?

Properties in neighborhoods adjacent to the Ellinikon development have experienced appreciation of 25-40% since the project was confirmed in 2020. Areas like Glyfada, Voula, and Argyroupoli have seen particularly strong growth as buyers anticipate the amenities and prestige the completed development will bring. The effect hasn’t been uniform, however—properties closest to the development site and those with potential sea views have appreciated most dramatically, while properties further inland have seen more modest gains of 10-15%.

What financing options are available for foreign buyers in Greece?

Financing options for foreign buyers have improved significantly but vary based on residency status. EU citizens can typically secure Greek bank mortgages covering 60-70% of property value with rates currently ranging from 3.5-5% depending on loan terms and buyer profile. Non-EU citizens face more restrictions, with most Greek banks limiting financing to 50-60% of value and requiring more extensive documentation. Many international buyers opt for financing in their home countries, using existing property equity or investment portfolios as collateral. For Golden Visa applicants, it’s important to note that the full investment amount must come from external sources—not from Greek financing.

How do seasonal considerations affect Greek property investments?

Seasonality impacts Greek property investments in several crucial ways. For vacation rental properties, the traditional high season (mid-June through September) generates approximately 70-80% of annual rental income, creating significant cash flow variability. However, this pattern is evolving—shoulder seasons (April-June and September-October) have strengthened substantially, and winter tourism is growing in certain destinations like Athens, Thessaloniki, and Crete. Investment properties in purely seasonal locations may sit vacant for 4-6 months annually, increasing security concerns and maintenance requirements. Successful investors often counter seasonality by targeting locations with year-round appeal, implementing off-season rental strategies (such as monthly rentals to digital nomads), or simply budgeting for seasonal income fluctuations.

Ellinikon Development Project

Article reviewed by Jasna Jovanovic, Real Estate Asset Manager | Bridging Profitability and Community in Mixed-Use Spaces, on April 29, 2025

Author

  • I'm Jonathan Reed, dedicated to uncovering hidden opportunities at the intersection of property markets and investment-based immigration programs. My expertise spans analyzing market cycles across diverse economies to identify optimal entry points for real estate acquisitions with visa benefits. I've developed proprietary methods for evaluating investment properties not just for their financial returns, but also for their effectiveness as vehicles for obtaining second residency or citizenship in desirable jurisdictions.

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